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Markets

50 open across 8 categories

AllMacro & inflation · 22Weather · 18Crops · 10Sports · 4Energy · 4Property · 3Tourism · 3Livestock · 3

Vineyards

Frost (≤ -2°C) in Bordeaux before 2026-05-15

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedNational ag ministry + EU Copernicus

Markets

BTC/USD > $82,000 in 24h

Yes

51¢

1.82× payout

No

49¢

1.86× payout

Settles in closedCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Markets

BTC/USD > $85,000 in 7 days

Yes

52¢

1.76× payout

No

48¢

1.93× payout

Settles in closedCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Markets

Will gold close above $4,850 by May 30?

Yes

51¢

1.80× payout

No

49¢

1.89× payout

Settles in closedCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Inflation

Will EU inflation come in above 2.8% next print?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedEurostat / national statistics

Markets

BTC/USD > $90,000 in 30 days

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Vineyards

Will a late frost (≤ -2°C) still hit the Bordeaux vines before mid-June?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedNational ag ministry + EU Copernicus

Markets

Vai Rīgā Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Madonā Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Cēsīs Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Daugavpilī Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Rīgā Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Liepājā Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Ventspilī Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Siguldā Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Kuldīgā Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Vai Cēsīs Jāņos līs?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in closedLVĢMC / meteo.lv

Markets

Will the expanded 2026 World Cup produce 170 or more total goals?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 6dOfficial sports body record

Livestock

EU pork reference > €2.10/kg week 2026-W30

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 12dEU Commission price observatory

Energy

Summer dunkelflaute? German power above €150/MWh on 31 Aug.

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 6wICE / EEX official close

Markets

Gulf gold check: will XAU hold above $3,200/oz at end of August?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 7wCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Inflation

Will US headline CPI run above 3.0% for August?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 8wEurostat / national statistics

Sports

EuroBasket 2026 final attendance ≥ 18,000

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 8wOfficial sports body record

Inflation

Will euro-area inflation come in above 2.2% for August?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 9wEurostat / national statistics

Markets

Will the EuroBasket 2026 final pack in more than 18,000 fans?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 9wOfficial sports body record

Crops

Will EU wheat yield exceed 130 Mt in 2026?

Yes

50¢

1.83× payout

No

50¢

1.85× payout

Settles in 11wEurostat / USDA WASDE

Markets

Will Brent crude close above $90 a barrel by the end of Q3?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 11wCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Markets

Tech wobble: will the NASDAQ-100 close Q3 below 22,000?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 11wCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Markets

Dollar surge: will EUR/USD drop below 1.05 by end of Q3?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 11wCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Markets

Will Bitcoin still be above $100k at the end of Q3?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 11wCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Markets

Will Ethereum hold above $3,000 at the end of Q3?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 11wCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close

Tourism

Mallorca summer 2026 hotel occupancy ≥ 85%

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 13wNational tourism office

Inflation

Vai Latvijas inflācija septembrī pārsniegs 3,0%?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 13wEurostat / national statistics

Vineyards

Will an early frost (≤ -1°C) hit the Mosel before harvest wraps?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 14wNational ag ministry + EU Copernicus

Tourism

Will Spanish hotels run above 80% occupancy this summer (Q3)?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 14wNational tourism office

Tourism

Will Greek summer arrivals grow more than 5% year-on-year in Q3?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 15wNational tourism office

Crops

Will the EU bring in more than 130 Mt of soft wheat in 2026?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 17wEurostat / USDA WASDE

Crops

Will the EU rapeseed crop beat 19 Mt in 2026?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 17wEurostat / USDA WASDE

Crops

Vai Latvijas 2026. gada kviešu raža pārsniegs 3,0 miljonus tonnu?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 17wEurostat / USDA WASDE

Crops

Will Estonia's 2026 wheat harvest clear 0.6 Mt?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 17wEurostat / USDA WASDE

Crops

Will Lithuania's 2026 barley harvest top 2.5 Mt?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 17wEurostat / USDA WASDE

Crops

Will France harvest more than 35 Mt of soft wheat in 2026?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 17wEurostat / USDA WASDE

Storms

Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season have ≥ 18 named storms?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 19wSettles on the NOAA NHC final 2026 Atlantic season report (season ends 30 Nov)

Storms

Will the 2026 Atlantic season end with 18+ named storms?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 20wSettles on the NOAA NHC final 2026 Atlantic season report (season ends 30 Nov)

Inflation

Will November euro-area inflation surprise above 2.5%?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 22wEurostat / national statistics

Livestock

Will the EU reference pork price be above €200/100kg in week 50?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 22wEU Commission price observatory

Livestock

Will the EU butter reference price hold above €700/100kg in week 50?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 22wEU Commission price observatory

Energy

Will TTF gas close above €55/MWh on 31 December?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 24wICE / EEX official close

Energy

Will German day-ahead power settle above €120/MWh on the last day of 2026?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 24wICE / EEX official close

Energy

Winter gas spike: will TTF front-month settle above €50/MWh at year-end?

Yes

50¢

1.84× payout

No

50¢

1.84× payout

Settles in 24wICE / EEX official close