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Vineyards

Will a late frost (≤ -2°C) still hit the Bordeaux vines before mid-June?

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Settles YES on the first ≤ -2°C reading at a Bordeaux station (Copernicus / Météo-France) before 15 Jun 2026.

When this market settles you can see the full source response, hash, and outcome on the public transcript page.

Implied probability — last 200 points

99% start99% now

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Pays if YES18.40

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Cents are the crowd's probability. 25¢ on YES = 25% chance, payout 4×.

Volume placed: €0.00