MARKETSSettles in closedWill gold close above $4,850 by May 30?
Settles on CoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close
51% Yes49% No
Free to play. €10,000 demo balance on signup. No money in or out.
Paper play · early beta
Protect what matters.
Or take a view.
Simple yes-or-no predictions on real-world prices — gold, gas, grain, snowfall, inflation. You always see what you risk. No charts, no jargon.
Paper play only — no money in or out. Real-money launch awaiting licensing.
MARKETSSettles in closed
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Place a ticket
Vineyards
Frost (≤ -2°C) in Bordeaux before 2026-05-15
Yes
50¢
1.84× payout
No
50¢
1.84× payout
Settles in closedNational ag ministry + EU Copernicus
Markets
BTC/USD > $82,000 in 24h
Yes
51¢
1.82× payout
No
49¢
1.86× payout
Settles in closedCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close
Markets
BTC/USD > $85,000 in 7 days
Yes
52¢
1.76× payout
No
48¢
1.93× payout
Settles in closedCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close
Inflation
Will EU inflation come in above 2.8% next print?
Yes
50¢
1.84× payout
No
50¢
1.84× payout
Settles in closedEurostat / national statistics
Markets
BTC/USD > $90,000 in 30 days
Yes
50¢
1.84× payout
No
50¢
1.84× payout
Settles in closedCoinGecko / LMAX FIX / ICE / CME official close
Vineyards
Will a late frost (≤ -2°C) still hit the Bordeaux vines before mid-June?
Yes
50¢
1.84× payout
No
50¢
1.84× payout
Settles in closedNational ag ministry + EU Copernicus
67
Open markets
2
Players
6
Tickets placed
€195
Demo volume
Source-stamped settlement
Every market names its settlement source up front — Eurostat, ICE, SLF, NOAA. No black box.
Verifiable transcripts
Every settlement publishes the raw source response and a SHA-256 hash. Re-fetch and re-hash to verify.
Locked at placement
Your payout multiplier is locked the moment you place — no slippage on your own ticket. Polymarket pattern.
Why this isn't a sportsbook
A different shape from what you've seen
| VigFi | Sportsbook | Binary options | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Underlying | Real-world numbers | Sport results | Financial price moves |
| Pricing model | Parimutuel pool | Bookmaker odds | Counterparty quotes |
| House edge | Flat 8% vig, stamped | Implicit overround | Hidden in spread |
| Settlement source | Named public source | Sport governing body | Broker's tape |
| Transcript | Public, hashed, verifiable | None | None |
| Manipulation risk | Low (public macro data) | High (single-actor) | High (counterparty) |
| Max loss | Your stake | Your stake | Sometimes more |
| In-play / parlays | No | Yes | Sometimes |
| Regulated as | Gambling (Tobique, pending) | Gambling | Financial derivative |
How it works
Two buttons. One question.
01
Pick a market
Real-world numbers — gold, gas, snowfall, inflation. Plain-English titles, no jargon.
02
Place YES or NO
Cents are the crowd's probability. 25¢ on YES = 25% chance, pays 4× if it happens.
03
Settles on a named source
Every settlement gets a public transcript with the raw data and a verifiable SHA-256 hash.
FAQ
Questions worth asking
Is this real money?+
No — VigFi is currently paper-play only. €10,000 demo balance on signup. Real-money launch is awaiting licensing.
How are markets settled?+
Each market names its settlement source on the market page (Eurostat, ICE, SLF, etc). After the window closes we fetch the source, archive the raw response, hash it, publish the transcript, and pay out winners.
What is the house edge?+
A flat 8% vig on each market. We don't take a side on the outcome — we make money on volume, not on guessing the market wrong.
Can I lose more than I stake?+
No. Your stake is your maximum risk. If you lose, you lose what you put in — never more.
Do I need ID / KYC?+
Not for paper play. When real-money launches we will require KYC; the operator licence we are pursuing requires it.
Ready to take a view?
Free to play. €10,000 demo balance on signup. No money in or out — yet.
Start free — €10,000 demo