Predict
real-world
numbers.
Two buttons. One question. Plain English.
Will gold close above $4,200 on Friday? Will EU inflation come in above 3.5% next month?
Paper play only. No money in or out. Real-money launch awaiting licensing.
Try it now — Macro & inflation
Will gold close above $4,850 by May 30?
Settles on 30 May 2026 · source: LMAX FIX / ICE / CME
Place a ticket
Free to play. No money in or out. €10,000 demo balance on signup.
Open markets
See all →Frost (≤ -2°C) in Bordeaux before 2026-05-15
CropsYes
50¢
payout 1.84×
No
50¢
payout 1.84×
Will EU inflation come in above 2.8% next print?
Macro & inflationYes
50¢
payout 1.84×
No
50¢
payout 1.84×
EU pork reference > €2.10/kg week 2026-W30
LivestockYes
50¢
payout 1.84×
No
50¢
payout 1.84×
EuroBasket 2026 final attendance ≥ 18,000
SportsYes
50¢
payout 1.84×
No
50¢
payout 1.84×
Will EU wheat yield exceed 130 Mt in 2026?
CropsYes
50¢
payout 1.84×
No
50¢
payout 1.84×
Mallorca summer 2026 hotel occupancy ≥ 85%
TourismYes
50¢
payout 1.84×
No
50¢
payout 1.84×
How it works
01
Pick a market
Real-world numbers — gold price, inflation, snowfall. Plain-English titles, no jargon.
02
Place YES or NO
Cents = the crowd's probability. 25¢ on YES = 25% chance, pays 4× if it happens.
03
Settles on a named source
Every market shows where it settles. Every settlement gets a public transcript with the raw data and a verifiable hash.