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Macro & inflation
Will EU inflation come in above 2.8% next print?
Eurostat publishes the EU HICP annual rate around the 17th of the following month. A higher print signals stickier inflation; markets typically move on the deviation from consensus.
Settles on
Settles on the first official Eurostat HICP print for May 2026 (geo=EA, unit=RCH_A1, coicop=CP00).
When this market settles you can see the full source response, hash, and outcome on the public transcript page.
Implied probability — last 22 points
50% start48% now
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