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Will TTF gas close above €55/MWh on 31 December?
European gas prices remained elevated into the second half of 2026. A YES here means a colder winter or supply shock; a NO means demand destruction or mild weather.
Settles on
Settles on the ICE TTF official end-of-day settlement on 31 December 2026.
When this market settles you can see the full source response, hash, and outcome on the public transcript page.
Implied probability — last 36 points
69% start70% now
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Pays if YES€18.40
Free to play. No money in or out. €10,000 demo balance on signup.
Cents are the crowd's probability. 25¢ on YES = 25% chance, payout 4×.
Volume placed: €0.00