Vineyards
Will an early frost (≤ -1°C) hit the Mosel before harvest wraps?
Settles on
Settles YES on the first ≤ -1°C reading at a Mosel station (Copernicus / DWD) before 20 Oct 2026.
When this market settles you can see the full source response, hash, and outcome on the public transcript page.
Implied probability — last 200 points
99% start99% now
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