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Will EU wheat yield exceed 130 Mt in 2026?

The EU-27 wheat harvest typically lands between 120 and 145 million tonnes. A YES here means a strong harvest — bullish for supply, bearish for prices.

Settles on

Settles on the first USDA WASDE / Eurostat agreed EU-27 wheat production estimate for the 2026 harvest year.

When this market settles you can see the full source response, hash, and outcome on the public transcript page.

Implied probability — last 36 points

43% start43% now

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Pays if YES18.40

Free to play. No money in or out. €10,000 demo balance on signup.

Cents are the crowd's probability. 25¢ on YES = 25% chance, payout 4×.

Volume placed: €0.00